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$157.7 billion

market capitalization of Borsa

İstanbul

At year-end 2016 the market capitalization of Borsa

İstanbul stood at USD 157.7 billion with a year-on

decrease of 16.5%.

Growth, Unemployment, Consumer Prices - Selected Countries

(%)

Growth

Unemployment

Change in Consumer Prices

Realization Projection

Realization Projection

Realization Projection

2016 2017 2018

2016 2017 2018

2016 2017 2018

USA

1.6

2.3

2.5

4.9

4.7

4.6

1.3

2.7

2.4

Germany

1.8

1.6

1.5

4.2

4.2

4.2

4.2

0.4

1.7

France

1.2

1.4

1.6

10.0

9.6

9.3

0.3

1.4

1.2

Italy

0.9

0.8

0.8

11.7

11.4

11.0

-0.1

1.3

1.3

Spain

3.2

2.6

2.1

19.6

17.7

16.6

-0.2

2.4

1.4

UK

1.8

2.0

1.5

4.9

4.9

5.1

0.6

2.5

2.6

Japan

1.0

1.2

0.6

3.1

3.1

3.1

-0.1

1.0

0.6

Canada

1.4

1.9

2.0

7

6.9

6.8

1.4

2.0

2.1

China

6.7

6.6

6.2

4.0

4.0

4.0

2.0

2.4

2.3

India

6.8

7.2

7.7

-

-

-

4.9

4.8

5.1

Russia

-0.2

1.4

1.4

5.5

5.5

5.5

7.0

4.5

4.2

Brazil

-3.6

0.2

1.7

11.3

12.1

11.6

8.7

4.4

4.3

Mexico

2.3

1.7

2.0

4.3

4.4

4.4

2.8

4.8

3.2

South Africa

0.3

0.8

1.6

26.7

27.4

27.7

6.3

6.2

5.5

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2017

Looking at crude oil market developments in demand, the

International Energy Agency pointedly refrained from making

any changes in its demand forecasts for 2017 and it kept

an especially tight lid on its projections for any increases in

demand taking place in either China or India.

In the event that the rise in protectionist foreign trade policies

among developed countries do cause global trade to slow down

even more, it is within the realm of possibility that the demand

for crude oil will decline still further.

Although inflation rates were up in developed countries in

2016, they showed modest declines among the developing

countries.

In 2016 the twelve-month inflation rate rose to 1.3% and

2.1% in the US and China respectively while in the euro area it

increased by only 0.2% and in Japan it fell by 0.1%.

The rise in inflation in developed countries would appear to

stem from a somewhat more positive economic outlook as well

as from higher oil prices. The prospects of more expansionist

economic policy planning in the United States in the wake

of the country’s November elections and expectations as to

what the US Federal Reserve Bank might do nourished the

strength of the US dollar, which gained value. While there

may be modest increases in euro area inflation rates fueled by

somewhat higher energy prices in the near term, it is likely that

Developments in the World and Turkish

Economies

Annual Report 2016

The Association of Financial Institutions

34